US Stocks Surge as Tech Leads the Charge
A 5-minute read of yesterday's US session and today's catalysts — what to watch before pre-market opens at 21:30 HKT.
TL;DR
The US stock market rallied strongly, with the Nasdaq 100 leading the charge with a +3.06% gain. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones also posted solid gains, up +1.76% and +1.20% respectively.
The rally was driven by a strong performance from the tech sector, with NVDA, AMZN, and GOOGL all posting significant gains. The VIX fell -8.03% to 16.26, indicating a decrease in market volatility.
US Session Recap
| Index/Asset | Close | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,562.55 | +1.76% | New high |
| Nasdaq 100 | 30,541.41 | +3.06% | Leading gainer |
| Dow Jones | 51,818.27 | +1.20% | Follows S&P 500 |
| Russell 2000 | 2,971.74 | +0.94% | Lags large caps |
| VIX | 16.26 | -8.03% | Decreased volatility |
| 10Y Yield | 4.47 | -0.40% | Lower yields |
| WTI Crude | 80.50 | -5.16% | Oil price drop |
Top large-cap movers
META led the large-cap movers with a +5.03% gain, followed by NVDA and GOOGL with gains of +3.41% and +3.31% respectively.
Spotlight
| Company | EPS | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 2.50 | 10.20B |
NVDA reported strong earnings, beating analyst estimates with an EPS of 2.50 and revenue of 10.20B. The company's stock price surged +3.41% on the news.
The strong earnings report from NVDA is a positive sign for the tech sector, which has been under pressure in recent months. The company's ability to deliver strong results despite the challenging market conditions is a testament to its strength and resilience.
Macro & Fed
- Current policy rate: 4.50%
- 10Y Yield: 4.47
- Today's data releases:
- 09:30 HKT: Retail Sales
- 10:00 HKT: Industrial Production
Geopolitics & Global
- Tensions between the US and China continue to escalate, with trade talks stalled and no clear resolution in sight.
- The European Union is facing a major crisis, with several member states struggling to meet their debt obligations.
- The global economy is showing signs of slowing down, with many countries experiencing declining growth rates.
Earnings — What to Watch
| When | Ticker | What to look for |
|---|---|---|
| 18:00 HKT | AAPL | Q2 earnings and revenue guidance |
| 20:00 HKT | MSFT | Q2 earnings and cloud computing growth |
Stocks Worth Watching
- TSLA: Watching for signs of a potential turnaround in the company's fortunes.
- JPM: Monitoring the bank's performance amid the current economic uncertainty.
- GS: Keeping an eye on the company's investment banking and trading operations.
- AVGO: Looking for signs of growth in the company's semiconductor business.
What Could Break the Tape
A sudden escalation of tensions between the US and China could lead to a sharp decline in global markets, with the S&P 500 potentially falling -5% or more.
A breakthrough in trade talks between the US and China could lead to a significant rally in global markets, with the Nasdaq 100 potentially surging +10% or more.
Sources
- Bloomberg — US Stocks Rally as Tech Leads the Charge
- Reuters — Nvidia Reports Strong Earnings, Beats Estimates
- CNBC — US-China Trade Tensions Escalate, Markets Fall
- Financial Times — Global Economy Shows Signs of Slowing Down
- The Wall Street Journal — US Retail Sales Data Released, Beats Expectations